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Policy geopoliticsSaudi ArabiaDeveloping story

Aramco CEO warns rebuilding global oil inventories could take up to two years

On 5 Oct 2026 Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said it could take up to two years to replenish global crude and refined-fuel stocks drawn down during the Strait of Hormuz disruption, signaling a potentially prolonged period of tight oil markets and constrained supply buffers.

On 5 Oct 2026 Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said it could take up to two years to replenish global crude and refined-fuel stocks drawn down during the Strait of Hormuz disruption, signaling a potentially prolonged period of tight oil markets and constrained supply buffers.

If inventories take up to two years to rebuild, prolonged tightness would support export revenues for African crude producers such as Angola, while leaving fuel-importing African economies (for example Egypt) exposed to sustained higher fuel costs, wider sovereign spreads and strained FX reserves. The statement is a supply-side signal; actual price and spread moves will depend on demand, alternative flows and policy responses.

Next OPEC+ review on 1 November 2026 to reassess production settings and market conditions.

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