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Brent tops $100 as Red Sea attacks and Saudi pipeline outage tighten supplies

On 18 September 2026 Brent crude traded above $100 a barrel after Houthi-linked attacks around the Red Sea and a drone strike–related outage on Saudi Arabia's East–West pipeline added a near‑term supply risk, prompting a risk premium on shipping through Bab el‑Mandeb and alternative routing via Suez/SUMED.

On 18 September 2026 Brent crude traded above $100 a barrel after Houthi-linked attacks around the Red Sea and a drone strike–related outage on Saudi Arabia's East–West pipeline added a near‑term supply risk, prompting a risk premium on shipping through Bab el‑Mandeb and alternative routing via Suez/SUMED.

Higher crude prices and elevated shipping risk around Bab el‑Mandeb raise import costs for African energy importers transiting the Red Sea and can increase freight and diesel prices regionally. Egypt is exposed via Suez/SUMED rerouting that may lengthen and raise transport costs; Djibouti faces immediate transit and security effects given proximity to the Bab el‑Mandeb chokepoint. The move does not by itself imply sovereign spread moves without country‑specific fiscal or FX evidence.

Whether Saudi exports resume via the East–West pipeline and if Houthi attacks on shipping increase or de‑escalate within two weeks.

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Further independent confirmation is required.

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