Kenya switch auction 7 Oct 2026 undersubscribed; FXD1/2018/015 clears at 12.611%
On 7 October 2026 the Central Bank of Kenya's switch auction for FXD1/2018/015 was 91% subscribed: bids of KES 9.1bn against a KES 10.0bn offer, with KES 9.0bn accepted. The destination bond cleared at a market yield of 12.611% (coupon 12.65%), signalling weaker domestic demand for long-dated KES paper.
The desk brief
On 7 October 2026 the Central Bank of Kenya's switch auction for FXD1/2018/015 was 91% subscribed: bids of KES 9.1bn against a KES 10.0bn offer, with KES 9.0bn accepted. The destination bond cleared at a market yield of 12.611% (coupon 12.65%), signalling weaker domestic demand for long-dated KES paper.
Lower bid coverage (91% subscribed) at a switch auction for a long-dated 6.6‑year KES bond implies investors showed relatively weak appetite for re‑taking into KES duration. That can lift the refinancing premium required on new/long-dated shilling paper, potentially steepening or pressuring Kenya's long end versus shorter tenors and peer sovereign curves, conditional on global rates and local liquidity.
Watch subsequent CBK treasury-bond results and the October funding calendar for re-openings and auction demand metrics.
Sources & verification
Developing storyFurther independent confirmation is required.
- Kenya 15-year bond auction, settlement 7 Oct 2026: 12.61%afronomicsfeed.com (opens in a new tab)
- A. The auction outcome is summarised in the table below. ISSUE NUMBER Tenor Due Date Total Amount Offered (Kshs. M) Total bids Received at cost (Kshs. M) Performance Rate (%) Amouncentralbank.go.ke (opens in a new tab)
- -----Original Message-----centralbank.go.ke (opens in a new tab)
Public references supporting this brief.
Price Discovery
Kenya sovereign curve
Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.
- Kenya 27May 2027100.1886.640%
- Kenya 28Feb 2028100.1887.087%
- Kenya 31Feb 2031104.8758.014%
- Kenya 32May 203296.8758.850%
- Kenya 33Oct 203394.8759.011%
- Kenya 34 JanJan 203484.8759.209%
- Kenya 34 FebFeb 203492.1259.566%
- Kenya 36Mar 203698.5009.763%
- Kenya 38Oct 203892.12510.001%
- Kenya 39Feb 203991.3759.988%
- Kenya 48Feb 204886.2509.796%
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