Dangote sets Sept 30, 2026 groundbreaking for 700,000-bpd Lamu refinery; heavy machinery already arrived
On September 30, 2026 Dangote scheduled the groundbreaking for a proposed 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Lamu, Kenya. Prior to the ceremony, 2,930 tonnes of heavy machinery arrived at Lamu port, marking the start of on-site works and a shift from planning to active construction preparations.
The desk brief
On September 30, 2026 Dangote scheduled the groundbreaking for a proposed 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Lamu, Kenya. Prior to the ceremony, 2,930 tonnes of heavy machinery arrived at Lamu port, marking the start of on-site works and a shift from planning to active construction preparations.
The ceremony and arrival of heavy equipment shift near-term import and FX demand from fuel product imports toward intensive construction-related external financing and capex flows. That increases Kenya's near-term external financing needs and project-related dollar demand while potentially reducing long-term refined-product import dependence if completed as planned.
Monitor commercial financing details (including Africa Finance Corporation participation) and progress on the land-lawsuit resolution ahead of a multi-year construction timeline.
Sources & verification
Verified briefSupported by 3 independent publishers.
- First cargo of 2,930 tonnes of machinery arrives Kenyan port as Dangote begins work on East Africa’s largest refinerybusinessinsider.comSource published (opens in a new tab)
- Dangote to break ground for Sh2.2trn Lamu oil refinery on September 30the-star.co.ke (opens in a new tab)
- Nigerian billionaire eyes US investors ahead of groundbreaking for $16B Kenya refinery – WTOP Newsassociated pressSource published (opens in a new tab)
Public references supporting this brief.
Price Discovery
Kenya sovereign curve
Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.
- Kenya 27May 2027100.1886.647%
- Kenya 28Feb 2028100.0637.189%
- Kenya 31Feb 2031104.5008.149%
- Kenya 32May 203296.5008.952%
- Kenya 33Oct 203394.2509.153%
- Kenya 34 JanJan 203484.2509.338%
- Kenya 34 FebFeb 203491.1259.792%
- Kenya 36Mar 203697.5009.944%
- Kenya 38Oct 203890.87510.204%
- Kenya 39Feb 203989.81310.239%
- Kenya 48Feb 204884.9389.964%
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