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Policy geopoliticsNigeriaVerified brief

Exxon affiliate declares force majeure on Erha exports, risking ~200,000 bpd of Nigerian crude

On 8 July 2026 Esso Exploration & Production Nigeria Limited (EEPNL), an Exxon affiliate, declared force majeure on crude exports from the Erha FPSO after damage to the floating loading buoy, putting about 200,000 barrels per day of Nigerian production and related export receipts at risk until repairs are completed.

On 8 July 2026 Esso Exploration & Production Nigeria Limited (EEPNL), an Exxon affiliate, declared force majeure on crude exports from the Erha FPSO after damage to the floating loading buoy, putting about 200,000 barrels per day of Nigerian production and related export receipts at risk until repairs are completed.

If the outage persists, lost Erha exports would directly reduce Nigeria’s FX inflows and fiscal oil revenues, increasing pressure on naira liquidity and near‑term sovereign bill financing needs. The extent of sovereign-market stress depends on outage duration, Nigeria’s reserve buffers, and fiscal offsets; short outages may be manageable, prolonged stoppages could raise rollover and financing premia on short‑to‑mid‑dated paper.

EEPNL or Nigerian government update on repair timeline and estimated restart date for Erha exports.

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Price Discovery

Nigeria sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

15 priced bonds
9.18%8.18%7.18%6.18%5.18%20272033203920452051Nigeria 27 · Nov 2027 · 5.712%Nigeria 28 · Sept 2028 · 6.192%Nigeria 29 · Mar 2029 · 6.493%Nigeria 30 · Feb 2030 · 6.839%Nigeria 31 Jan · Jan 2031 · 7.177%Nigeria 31 Jun · Jun 2031 · 7.137%Nigeria 32 · Feb 2032 · 7.351%Nigeria 33 · Sept 2033 · 7.752%Nigeria 34 · Dec 2034 · 7.859%Nigeria 36 · Jan 2036 · 7.987%Nigeria 38 · Feb 2038 · 7.982%Nigeria 46 · Jan 2046 · 8.617%Nigeria 47 · Nov 2047 · 8.456%Nigeria 49 · Jan 2049 · 8.598%Nigeria 51 · Sept 2051 · 8.655%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Nigeria 27Nov 2027100.8135.712%
  • Nigeria 28Sept 202899.8756.192%
  • Nigeria 29Mar 2029104.1256.493%
  • Nigeria 30Feb 2030100.8756.839%
  • Nigeria 31 JanJan 2031105.6257.177%
  • Nigeria 31 JunJun 2031109.6257.137%
  • Nigeria 32Feb 2032102.2507.351%
  • Nigeria 33Sept 203398.0007.752%
  • Nigeria 34Dec 2034114.8757.859%
  • Nigeria 36Jan 2036104.1257.987%
  • Nigeria 38Feb 203897.8757.982%
  • Nigeria 46Jan 2046104.7508.617%
  • Nigeria 47Nov 204791.8758.456%
  • Nigeria 49Jan 2049106.3758.598%
  • Nigeria 51Sept 205195.8758.655%

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