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Policy geopoliticsUnited StatesDeveloping story

Fed hikes 25bp on Sept. 16, 2026 and dot-plot signals another rate rise this year

On September 16, 2026 the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target and released projections indicating a strong majority of officials expect another rate increase later in 2026. The committee signalled higher-for-longer US policy in updated projections and the dot plot.

On September 16, 2026 the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75–4.00% target and released projections indicating a strong majority of officials expect another rate increase later in 2026. The committee signalled higher-for-longer US policy in updated projections and the dot plot.

Higher US policy rates and the Fed's signal of another hike raise US Treasury yields and the dollar, which tightens global financial conditions. For African issuers, that can compress carry on USD funding, increase debt-service burdens on long-dated dollar eurobonds, and raise importers' FX costs. The extent of spread widening will depend on reserve buffers, commodity revenues and IMF or official-sector support.

Release of FOMC minutes for the Sept. 15–16 meeting on Oct. 07, 2026 and upcoming US inflation prints through year-end.

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