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Policy geopoliticsUnited StatesDeveloping story

Fed Governor Waller says September rate decision will be data-dependent, open to holding or hiking

On September 3, 2026 Fed Governor Christopher Waller publicly said his vote at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting will hinge on August inflation readings, and that he would support holding the federal funds rate if disinflation continues but would back a hike if inflation comes in hot.

On September 3, 2026 Fed Governor Christopher Waller publicly said his vote at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting will hinge on August inflation readings, and that he would support holding the federal funds rate if disinflation continues but would back a hike if inflation comes in hot.

Waller's emphasis on near-term data dependence increases uncertainty about US short-rate direction. That uncertainty can transmit to African issuers via duration risk on long-dated USD sovereign bonds (e.g., Ghana and Zambia) and through dollar funding channels that affect refinance-sensitive sovereigns and corporates. If US policy tightens, higher UST yields could raise required yields on African USD debt or increase roll/refinancing costs, all else equal.

Monthly US CPI and PPI releases and the Commerce BEA PCE inputs ahead of the Sept. 15–16 FOMC meeting.

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