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Policy geopoliticsUnited StatesDeveloping story

Fed’s Waller signals additional 2026 rate hikes, tightening prospects for long-dated African external funding

On October 8, 2026 Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he "anticipate[s] additional hikes" if incoming data continue to warrant tighter policy, signaling further US rate increases are likely in coming months and reinforcing market expectations of at least one more hike by year-end.

On October 8, 2026 Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he "anticipate[s] additional hikes" if incoming data continue to warrant tighter policy, signaling further US rate increases are likely in coming months and reinforcing market expectations of at least one more hike by year-end.

Waller’s explicit expectation of further hikes, if data warrant, increases the likelihood of higher US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar. That combination typically raises the external funding costs for sovereigns and corporates issuing long-dated USD paper; duration-sensitive Ghana and South Africa external curves and importers in Kenya and Egypt could face higher rollover and servicing costs, conditional on global risk pricing and FX moves.

FOMC policy meeting in December 2026 where markets price a high chance of at least one additional hike.

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