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Policy geopoliticsZambiaVerified brief

ECZ declares Hakainde Hichilema winner of Zambia’s 2026 presidential election

On 18 August 2026 the Electoral Commission of Zambia declared incumbent Hakainde Hichilema the winner of the presidential vote with a clear first-round majority, avoiding a run-off. The declaration followed tallying across all 226 constituencies and confirmed Hichilema’s second five-year term.

On 18 August 2026 the Electoral Commission of Zambia declared incumbent Hakainde Hichilema the winner of the presidential vote with a clear first-round majority, avoiding a run-off. The declaration followed tallying across all 226 constituencies and confirmed Hichilema’s second five-year term.

A confirmed first-round victory lowers near-term political uncertainty for Zambia and is likely to ease rollover and refinancing premia across Zambian sovereign debt, conditional on continued IMF and donor engagement and credible fiscal follow-through. The result reduces event-risk premia but does not itself guarantee spread compression or currency moves without subsequent policy signals or programme progress.

ECZ completion of gazetting and any Constitutional Court petitions within seven days; IMF and donor statements on programme continuity.

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Price Discovery

Zambia sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

1 priced bond
6.55%6.51%6.46%6.42%6.37%2033Zambin 33 · Jun 2033 · 6.460%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Zambin 33Jun 203396.1886.460%

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