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Policy geopoliticsSaudi ArabiaVerified brief

Houthis seize Perim and Mocha, tightening control of Bab al-Mandeb and raising shipping risk premia

On or around 11–14 Sept 2026 Houthi forces captured Perim (Mayyun) island and the port city of Mocha, giving them effective control of Yemen’s Red Sea approaches and the Bab al‑Mandeb chokepoint, prompting higher freight/insurance premia and a renewed risk premium on oil transit via the route.

On or around 11–14 Sept 2026 Houthi forces captured Perim (Mayyun) island and the port city of Mocha, giving them effective control of Yemen’s Red Sea approaches and the Bab al‑Mandeb chokepoint, prompting higher freight/insurance premia and a renewed risk premium on oil transit via the route.

Houthi control of Perim and nearby Red Sea coastline raises the effective risk of attacks on transiting vessels, encouraging rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, lifting freight and insurance premia and adding an oil transit risk premium. That transmission raises importers’ external costs (fuel and freight) and can widen trade and FX pressures for exposed African economies such as Djibouti and Egypt.

Monitor shipping volumes/transits via Bab al‑Mandeb, Suez toll revenue updates, and insurers’ war‑risk premia.

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