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Mozambique president signals potential debt renegotiation; 2031 dollar bond falls

On 15 January 2026 President Daniel Chapo said Mozambique could pursue debt renegotiation after securing a new IMF agreement, prompting the country’s sole international bond (XS2051203862, 2031) to drop about 1.4 cents to c.84.12 on the dollar in immediate market reaction.

On 15 January 2026 President Daniel Chapo said Mozambique could pursue debt renegotiation after securing a new IMF agreement, prompting the country’s sole international bond (XS2051203862, 2031) to drop about 1.4 cents to c.84.12 on the dollar in immediate market reaction.

The president’s comment raised investor uncertainty over Mozambique’s external debt treatment and likely increased perceived recovery and refinancing premia on long-dated external debt. That transmission operates via wider sovereign spreads on the 2031 bond, which can raise external financing costs and pressure foreign-exchange reserves until IMF programme terms and any creditor sequencing are clarified.

Finalisation or publication of the IMF programme and any official government statement on creditor negotiations.

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Price Discovery

Mozambique sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

1 priced bond
11.50%11.46%11.41%11.37%11.32%2031Moz 31 · Sept 2031 · 11.415%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Moz 31Sept 203191.12511.415%

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