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October 7, 2026 fuel-price adjustment sends inland petrol above R30/l, diesel near R33/l — record highs

On 7 October 2026 South Africa implemented October fuel-price adjustments that pushed inland 95 petrol above R30 per litre and diesel to about R33 per litre, marking the highest domestic pump prices on record and tightening near-term inflation dynamics.

On 7 October 2026 South Africa implemented October fuel-price adjustments that pushed inland 95 petrol above R30 per litre and diesel to about R33 per litre, marking the highest domestic pump prices on record and tightening near-term inflation dynamics.

Higher domestic petrol and diesel directly raise consumer and transport costs, increasing CPI headline and core pass-through risks. That lifts short-to-medium term monetary tightening risk and concentrates repricing on the belly of the sovereign curve and fuel-intensive corporates via higher refinancing premia and compressed margins. The ultimate impact depends on how much of the shock is one-off versus persistent and on SARB guidance and demand responses.

National Assembly debate and vote on the Second Special Appropriation Bill (R10 billion fuel-relief proposal), currently awaiting scheduling, expected by December 2026.

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Price Discovery

South Africa sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

12 priced bonds
8.25%7.39%6.53%5.67%4.82%20272033204020462052Soaf 27 · Sept 2027 · 5.269%Soaf 28 · Oct 2028 · 5.527%Soaf 29 · Sept 2029 · 5.694%Soaf 30 · Jun 2030 · 5.872%Soaf 32 · Apr 2032 · 5.997%Soaf 41 · Mar 2041 · 7.344%Soaf 44 · Jul 2044 · 7.509%Soaf 46 · Oct 2046 · 7.631%Soaf 47 · Sept 2047 · 7.683%Soaf 48 · Jun 2048 · 7.710%Soaf 49 · Sept 2049 · 7.717%Soaf 52 · Apr 2052 · 7.794%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Soaf 27Sept 202799.6255.269%
  • Soaf 28Oct 202897.7505.527%
  • Soaf 29Sept 202997.7505.694%
  • Soaf 30Jun 2030100.0005.872%
  • Soaf 32Apr 203299.4385.997%
  • Soaf 41Mar 204190.3757.344%
  • Soaf 44Jul 204479.2507.509%
  • Soaf 46Oct 204673.2507.631%
  • Soaf 47Sept 204779.0007.683%
  • Soaf 48Jun 204885.2507.710%
  • Soaf 49Sept 204979.0007.717%
  • Soaf 52Apr 205294.5637.794%

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