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S&P downgrades Mozambique foreign‑currency rating to CCC, flags rising Eurobond restructuring risk

On 25 September 2026 S&P Global Ratings lowered Mozambique's long‑term foreign‑currency sovereign rating to CCC with a negative outlook, saying the likelihood of a distressed restructuring of the country's sole outstanding Eurobond (2031 maturity) has risen amid fiscal and FX liquidity pressures.

On 25 September 2026 S&P Global Ratings lowered Mozambique's long‑term foreign‑currency sovereign rating to CCC with a negative outlook, saying the likelihood of a distressed restructuring of the country's sole outstanding Eurobond (2031 maturity) has risen amid fiscal and FX liquidity pressures.

The downgrade formally raises credit risk for holders of Mozambique's external debt and may widen secondary premia on the 2031 Eurobond and other USD‑denominated sovereign or quasi‑sovereign paper. Impact depends on investor positioning, secondary liquidity and whether the IMF debt‑sustainability work prompts a pre‑2028 restructuring; higher sovereign risk could also constrain new external issuance.

Publication of the IMF debt‑sustainability analysis and any official restructuring timetable ahead of March 2028 principal repayments.

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Price Discovery

Mozambique sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

1 priced bond
11.50%11.46%11.41%11.37%11.32%2031Moz 31 · Sept 2031 · 11.415%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Moz 31Sept 203191.12511.415%

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