Angola production stagnates vs 2026 budget; LNG and Sanha outages extend to Aug 9, 2026
On July 30, 2026 sources report Angola produced 186.9 million barrels in Jan–Jun 2026 (1.032 mbpd), 17,500 bpd below the 2026 State Budget projection; a coordinated maintenance shutdown of Angola LNG and Chevron’s Sanha complex is also scheduled to keep operations offline until August 9, 2026, reducing near-term export capacity.
The desk brief
On July 30, 2026 sources report Angola produced 186.9 million barrels in Jan–Jun 2026 (1.032 mbpd), 17,500 bpd below the 2026 State Budget projection; a coordinated maintenance shutdown of Angola LNG and Chevron’s Sanha complex is also scheduled to keep operations offline until August 9, 2026, reducing near-term export capacity.
Lower-than-budgeted oil output and a coordinated outage at ALNG and the Sanha Complex reduce expected hydrocarbon export volumes and fiscal receipts, increasing near-term sovereign refinancing pressure. Conditionally, if production and LNG cargo losses persist through H2, Angola’s Eurobond spreads could face widening, especially on longer-dated tranches that price sovereign funding risk over multiple years.
Government publishes revised 2026 fiscal/production update or confirmation of ALNG/Sanha restart on/after Aug 9, 2026.
Sources & verification
Developing storyFurther independent confirmation is required.
- Oil Production Stagnates and Remains Below the 2026 State Budget Target • 360 Angola360angola.comSource published (opens in a new tab)
- Angola LNG and Chevron Sanha Complex Face Extended Shutdown to August 2026saga-advisory.comSource published (opens in a new tab)
Public references supporting this brief.
Price Discovery
Angola sovereign curve
Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.
- Angola 28May 2028101.9386.894%
- Angola 29Nov 202999.6888.113%
- Angola 31Jan 2031101.3138.857%
- Angola 32Apr 203297.6889.298%
- Angola 33Mar 203398.5639.678%
- Angola 35Oct 203599.8139.906%
- Angola 37Mar 203798.12510.168%
- Angola 48May 204889.68810.598%
- Angola 49Nov 204987.00010.646%
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