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Policy geopoliticsJapanDeveloping story

Bank of Japan raises policy rate 25bp to 1.25%, highest since 1995

On 18 September 2026 the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%, marking the highest level since 1995 and a further step in its ongoing tightening cycle that began in March 2024.

On 18 September 2026 the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%, marking the highest level since 1995 and a further step in its ongoing tightening cycle that began in March 2024.

A faster BOJ tightening cycle raises global carry from higher JPY yields and can shift cross-currency funding flows, eroding demand for long-duration, carry-dependent USD eurobonds. This is conditional: only bonds financed by yield-chasing international investors or relying on low-cost cross-currency carry are likely to see relative pressure; high-credit, policy-backed curves should be more resilient.

Next BOJ policy/statement on Oct. 30, 2026 (Quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy).

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