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Policy geopoliticsGhanaDeveloping story

IMF flags a US$1.1bn energy-sector shortfall for Ghana in 2026

On 9 August 2026 the IMF assessed Ghana’s energy-sector shortfall at about US$1.1 billion for 2026, warning that persistent losses, take‑or‑pay contracts and legacy payables will raise near‑term fiscal and external refinancing pressures and complicate programme targets.

On 9 August 2026 the IMF assessed Ghana’s energy-sector shortfall at about US$1.1 billion for 2026, warning that persistent losses, take‑or‑pay contracts and legacy payables will raise near‑term fiscal and external refinancing pressures and complicate programme targets.

The IMF’s assessed US$1.1bn 2026 shortfall increases Ghana’s near‑term contingent liabilities and external funding needs, potentially tightening fiscal space available for debt servicing and reforms. That raises refinancing risk for sovereign Eurobonds and could widen Ghana’s USD sovereign spreads if investors see higher probability of fiscal slippage; the size and timing of any market impact will depend on Ghana’s stated fiscal measures and repayments to IPPs.

Watch for the IMF staff report or next programme review for details on required fiscal measures and any financing adjustments.

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Price Discovery

Ghana sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

4 priced bonds
8.66%8.29%7.92%7.55%7.18%20292031203320352037Ghana 29 · Jul 2029 · 7.438%Ghana 30 · Jan 2030 · 7.374%Ghana 35 · Jul 2035 · 8.224%Ghana 37 · Jan 2037 · 8.460%
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BondMid pxYield
  • Ghana 29Jul 202997.0007.438%
  • Ghana 30Jan 203088.7507.374%
  • Ghana 35Jul 203588.1258.224%
  • Ghana 37Jan 203754.6258.460%

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