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U.S. Treasury yields trade mixed as oil tumbles ahead of Nov. 2 midterms

On Nov. 2, 2026 U.S. Treasury yields traded mixed intraday while oil prices fell sharply; reports linked the mixed Treasury moves in part to weaker oil and investors positioning ahead of the U.S. midterm elections and a busy week of economic data.

On Nov. 2, 2026 U.S. Treasury yields traded mixed intraday while oil prices fell sharply; reports linked the mixed Treasury moves in part to weaker oil and investors positioning ahead of the U.S. midterm elections and a busy week of economic data.

A sharp fall in oil on Nov. 2 loosened inflation-sensitivity in markets and helped equities recover, producing mixed moves across the U.S. Treasury curve. That change in risk sentiment can transmit to African USD sovereigns (for example Nigeria) via shifts in global risk premia and USD funding pressures; the size of any spread move will depend on local fundamentals and demand for dollar funding.

U.S. October payrolls on Friday and midterm election results will be the next market-moving milestones.

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